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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 08:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$11K$23K
Holders410+65345
Trades3.6K−2543.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−4.7 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI-4.6%
−3.5 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.25
+18.67×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.66
+18.05×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.2K
−$6.1K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.04
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−161.0 pp
66.3%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.6%
+2.2 pp
79.3%
Bot %81.6%
+2.7 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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