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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 17:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$2.3K$21K
Holders288+92196
Trades4.7K+5664.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+1.9 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI5.7%
+5.7 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.47×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.18
+48.63×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$4.9K
$7.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.06
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−184.3 pp
86.4%
Underwater %98.3%
+92.4 pp
6.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.0%
−11.5 pp
81.5%
Bot %78.6%
−2.6 pp
81.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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