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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5PM ET

data as of 2025-09-01 21:31 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$39K$42K
Holders72+4131
Trades711+144567
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.4%
−16.2 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI18.5%
+20.2 pp
-1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.66
+5.88×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.70
+9.92×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$115
−$1.3K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.17
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−122.5 pp
31.1%
Underwater %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.6%
−42.0 pp
91.6%
Bot %50.2%
−41.9 pp
92.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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