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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 20:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.6K−$1.2K$4.8K
Holders202+98104
Trades963+255708
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−27.4 pp
66.3%
Avg ROI17.1%
+10.4 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.45
+12.88×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.51
+11.93×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$211
$219
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.9%
−162.3 pp
70.4%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.4%
−10.7 pp
31.1%
Bot %21.4%
−6.7 pp
28.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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