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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?

data as of 2026-07-15 04:32 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
22¢
NO
78¢
YES
22¢
YesY-NNo
Position$66−$199$265
Holders17−421
Trades40+733
NO
78¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.2%
−43.2 pp
79.4%
Avg ROI6.9%
+5.3 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.07×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27
−$69
$96
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.18
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.6%
+6.9 pp
-2.3%
Underwater %36.9%
−14.8 pp
51.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−14.0 pp
14.0%
Bot %0.0%
−26.4 pp
26.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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