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Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 29 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

data as of 2025-11-03 00:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$94−$2.2K$2.3K
Holders33+1518
Trades180+13248
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.8%
−44.1 pp
65.8%
Avg ROI589.9%
+587.4 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.43
+0.43×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.62
+24.65×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.4K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.16
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−100.1 pp
3.2%
Underwater %58.1%
+58.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.1%
−70.5 pp
88.6%
Bot %18.1%
−71.6 pp
89.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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