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Will Mistral have the best AI model for math on March 31?

data as of 2026-01-08 13:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$8.7K$8.7K
Holders38−1351
Trades471+248223
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.3%
−33.7 pp
77.0%
Avg ROI24.4%
+23.4 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.47
+5.48×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$157
$158
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.6%
−85.2 pp
0.5%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %93.8%
−5.1 pp
98.9%
Bot %94.3%
−4.6 pp
98.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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