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Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

data as of 2026-04-21 13:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.8K−$8.2K$12K
Holders149+15134
Trades1.5K+2861.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−29.1 pp
69.9%
Avg ROI8.1%
+4.4 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.82
+1.00×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.11
+1.25×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$57
$68
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.08
0.72
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.9%
−73.0 pp
18.0%
Underwater %67.7%
+46.0 pp
21.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.3%
−24.4 pp
46.8%
Bot %21.8%
−25.0 pp
46.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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