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Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

data as of 2026-02-24 09:19 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$15−$737$752
Holders27+819
Trades166+9769
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate26.0%
+26.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI13.6%
+13.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.50
+0.50×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$5
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-33.3%
−33.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %50.0%
+50.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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