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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-28 18:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K−$27K$55K
Holders378−41419
Trades5.5K−4906.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−16.2 pp
62.8%
Avg ROI6.1%
+4.7 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.09
+37.51×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.67
+36.07×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.5K
−$9.5K
$36.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−166.0 pp
68.8%
Underwater %96.9%
+94.2 pp
2.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.6%
−6.3 pp
80.0%
Bot %64.8%
−15.7 pp
80.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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