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Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 7?

data as of 2026-05-07 08:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$441−$3.4K$3.8K
Holders77−279
Trades345−1346
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.3%
−36.3 pp
74.6%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−2.8 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×110.87
+109.98×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×154.92
+154.04×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$412
$416
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.08
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.3%
−117.3 pp
18.0%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.4%
+1.8 pp
14.6%
Bot %23.8%
+9.2 pp
14.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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