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Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?

data as of 2024-11-06 03:57 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$50K+$45K$4.8K
Holders66+660
Trades605−121726
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.9%
+0.1 pp
57.8%
Avg ROI-2.9%
−11.2 pp
8.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−18.19×
×19.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−17.95×
×18.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$274
−$422
$148
Recent buyer dominance0.33
−0.44
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.0%
+113.8 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
+33.3 pp
26.2%
Bot %52.1%
+25.9 pp
26.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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