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Will Grok 4.20 be released before February 1, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-01 09:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$43−$12K$13K
Holders30−3161
Trades163+50113
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.0%
−73.0 pp
92.0%
Avg ROI180.8%
+179.8 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.24
+1.24×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.09
+7.10×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.1%
−87.8 pp
0.7%
Underwater %72.2%
+72.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.3%
+26.6 pp
17.7%
Bot %44.3%
+26.6 pp
17.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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