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Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 20-27?

data as of 2024-12-26 13:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.9K−$18K$21K
Holders183−4187
Trades1.8K+1.1K715
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.1%
−21.6 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI7.3%
+5.8 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.33
+12.44×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.76
+18.85×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$62
$62
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.39
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−105.8 pp
9.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.8%
−39.1 pp
64.8%
Bot %25.4%
−44.3 pp
69.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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