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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 12:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$6.5K$7.3K
Holders207−37244
Trades1.5K−2981.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−2.0 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−5.8 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−5.39×
×6.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−5.59×
×6.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.7K
+$5.6K
$7.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.6%
+124.7 pp
-84.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.0%
+7.7 pp
53.3%
Bot %70.6%
+12.5 pp
58.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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