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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 19:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.5K−$1.5K$10.0K
Holders291+41250
Trades2.1K+1641.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−0.4 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI1.8%
−1.1 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.81
+14.25×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.97
+11.36×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.7K
−$2.4K
$8.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−160.4 pp
68.4%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
−7.7 pp
40.8%
Bot %46.2%
−10.8 pp
57.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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