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Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?

data as of 2026-05-14 02:14 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$163−$1.1K$1.3K
Holders19+316
Trades109−15124
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
+1.7 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI-2.5%
−4.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.30
+0.40×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.40
+0.48×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$8
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-28.4%
−37.9 pp
9.5%
Underwater %72.9%
+72.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.9%
−0.9 pp
39.8%
Bot %38.9%
−0.9 pp
39.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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