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Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

data as of 2026-06-04 21:22 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10−$146$156
Holders9+27
Trades32+1418
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−71.2 pp
71.2%
Avg ROI0.0%
−9.8 pp
9.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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