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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

data as of 2026-03-09 16:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$27K$39K
Holders450+139311
Trades3.8K+6173.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−11.2 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI25.5%
+25.3 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.35
+9.55×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.03
+8.24×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.5K
−$16.3K
$26.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.5%
−117.2 pp
27.7%
Underwater %95.7%
+93.7 pp
2.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.6%
−4.2 pp
82.8%
Bot %80.1%
−2.6 pp
82.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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