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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 05:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$1.6K$7.7K
Holders123−21144
Trades1.4K−901.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.7%
+3.9 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−7.2 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.43
−16.53×
×16.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−14.06×
×14.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
−$3.7K
$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.06
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL122.4%
+215.6 pp
-93.2%
Underwater %0.2%
−93.1 pp
93.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.9%
+17.1 pp
51.8%
Bot %78.8%
+19.0 pp
59.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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