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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 04:51 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.5K+$1.9K$2.5K
Holders65−469
Trades638+7631
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
+4.7 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI2.1%
−8.3 pp
10.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−22.86×
×23.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−22.24×
×22.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$472
+$453
$19
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.3%
+149.3 pp
-96.0%
Underwater %0.3%
−98.7 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.3%
−0.7 pp
62.0%
Bot %65.2%
+1.0 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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