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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on April 25?

data as of 2026-04-24 13:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25−$1.9K$2.0K
Holders28−2048
Trades311+160151
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.0%
−59.2 pp
88.2%
Avg ROI9.1%
+9.3 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.73
+0.74×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.18
+1.19×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$5
−$5
Recent buyer dominance0.48
+0.48
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.2%
−55.3 pp
1.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.6%
+41.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %41.6%
+41.6 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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