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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

data as of 2025-10-14 14:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$2.0K$17K
Holders48+444
Trades328−26354
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−0.4 pp
45.5%
Avg ROI-8.2%
−10.1 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−4.99×
×5.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.55
−5.25×
×5.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$974
−$1.4K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.15
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL81.9%
+164.6 pp
-82.7%
Underwater %0.3%
−99.2 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.8%
−23.5 pp
33.3%
Bot %9.1%
−7.4 pp
16.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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