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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 16:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$22K$33K
Holders381+14367
Trades4.3K+1854.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−14.7 pp
57.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
+2.1 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.42
+39.87×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.89
+32.33×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.1K
−$4.9K
$16.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−164.0 pp
67.1%
Underwater %94.9%
+94.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.8%
−1.7 pp
73.5%
Bot %71.8%
−3.0 pp
74.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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