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Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 15?

data as of 2026-04-15 14:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$744−$51K$52K
Holders158+15143
Trades1.0K+338698
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.9%
−38.2 pp
78.1%
Avg ROI8.5%
+9.0 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.09
+6.15×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.52
+7.59×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17
−$927
$944
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.16
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.0%
−100.7 pp
10.7%
Underwater %94.6%
+94.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.9%
+28.6 pp
12.2%
Bot %39.7%
+27.1 pp
12.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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