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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 18:23 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.8K−$25K$30K
Holders3430343
Trades2.1K+5151.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−6.9 pp
56.1%
Avg ROI0.8%
+0.4 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.50
+6.63×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.60
+7.73×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.4K
−$17.6K
$22.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.4%
−104.6 pp
15.1%
Underwater %97.7%
+97.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.7%
+1.9 pp
43.8%
Bot %59.9%
−3.1 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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