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Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

data as of 2026-05-14 18:09 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12K−$26K$38K
Holders99−14113
Trades685−107792
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.0%
−11.7 pp
70.7%
Avg ROI12.7%
+6.5 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.62
+6.95×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.88
+11.22×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$133
−$1.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.05
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.1%
−139.2 pp
48.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.3 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.5%
+31.9 pp
21.6%
Bot %13.9%
−4.8 pp
18.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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