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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 11?

data as of 2026-07-09 04:55 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
98¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$68$69
Holders5+41
Trades5+41
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.4%
−69.5 pp
84.8%
Avg ROI46.5%
+46.9 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.62
+0.62×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$68
$69
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-38.4%
−38.4 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %62.4%
−37.6 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.4%
+28.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %28.4%
+28.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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