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Will Matteo Salvini be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

data as of 2026-04-22 20:12 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2028Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$793$804
Holders20+416
Trades89+5534
NO
98¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.7%
+55.7 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI46.8%
+46.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−0.13×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.07
+0.07×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$9
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-6.7%
−6.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %22.5%
+22.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.1%
−74.9 pp
100.0%
Bot %25.1%
−74.9 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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