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Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

data as of 2026-05-20 03:03 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K−$9.1K$11K
Holders80−32112
Trades686+33653
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−27.2 pp
79.1%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.7 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.28
+6.39×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.32
+7.45×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$516
$527
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.25
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.4%
−104.5 pp
16.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.2%
+2.8 pp
27.4%
Bot %29.7%
−9.2 pp
38.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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