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Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?

data as of 2025-08-01 19:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.4K−$15K$22K
Holders82+874
Trades1.1K+41.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−14.7 pp
59.7%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+0.9 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.39
−1.31×
×1.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−1.24×
×1.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$235
+$229
$7
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.45
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL129.9%
+170.6 pp
-40.7%
Underwater %3.4%
−96.2 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.9%
−17.5 pp
28.4%
Bot %12.6%
−16.2 pp
28.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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