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US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

data as of 2025-12-26 01:14 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.7K−$83K$91K
Holders78−67145
Trades1.9K−1102.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.0%
−20.3 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI-12.0%
−22.4 pp
10.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.09
−919.04×
×919.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.15
−774.37×
×774.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL794.1%
+893.9 pp
-99.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.0 pp
94.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.2%
−0.7 pp
6.9%
Bot %8.5%
+0.8 pp
7.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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