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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 09:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$811−$806$1.6K
Holders68+1652
Trades531+227304
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−4.1 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI0.9%
+0.2 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.21
+25.38×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.17
+28.33×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$794
−$735
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−115.4 pp
18.9%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.9%
−2.4 pp
60.4%
Bot %57.0%
−18.4 pp
75.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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