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Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-11 14:37 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
52¢
NO
48¢
YES
52¢
YesY-NNo
Position$26+$2$24
Holders3−36
Trades10+28
NO
48¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate10.6%
−79.4 pp
90.0%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−1.3 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
+$0
$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−18.0 pp
18.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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