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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2026-03-26 08:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$13K$28K
Holders316+39277
Trades3.2K+5032.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−3.9 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI-0.9%
+0.4 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.92
+17.28×
×0.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.75
+17.11×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$4.7K
$9.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−151.5 pp
57.1%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.7%
−5.2 pp
78.9%
Bot %70.9%
−3.4 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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