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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$3.8K$17K
Holders291−18309
Trades2.2K+1032.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.6%
+1.6 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI-1.6%
−2.5 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.71
+50.12×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×43.12
+42.50×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.2K
−$2.7K
$15.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−157.8 pp
60.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.7%
−4.9 pp
49.6%
Bot %55.8%
−5.9 pp
61.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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