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Israel strike on Iran on June 20?

data as of 2025-06-20 07:39 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$128K+$122K$5.6K
Holders87−289
Trades1.4K+2111.2K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate83.3%
+36.0 pp
47.4%
Avg ROI3.5%
−9.8 pp
13.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−4.40×
×5.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−17.36×
×18.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$238
+$161
$77
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.25
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.4%
+101.5 pp
-94.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.2%
−3.1 pp
7.3%
Bot %4.2%
−3.1 pp
7.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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