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Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?

data as of 2025-03-15 02:26 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$176−$10K$10K
Holders18−3553
Trades271+80191
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−31.7 pp
69.7%
Avg ROI18.8%
+16.9 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.00
+3.02×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.33
+2.34×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
+$57
−$58
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.17
0.17
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.7%
−71.0 pp
1.3%
Underwater %98.4%
+89.8 pp
8.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.9%
−15.8 pp
19.7%
Bot %3.9%
−15.8 pp
19.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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