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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET

data as of 2026-04-23 17:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.6K−$54K$58K
Holders133−62195
Trades1.5K−1111.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate21.4%
−67.2 pp
88.6%
Avg ROI4.1%
+3.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.35
+0.34×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×46.30
+45.33×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$24.8K
$24.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.17
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.4%
−103.4 pp
5.0%
Underwater %95.5%
+37.2 pp
58.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.4%
−8.4 pp
32.8%
Bot %24.6%
−8.3 pp
32.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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