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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1PM ET

data as of 2026-04-14 17:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$6.1K$14K
Holders114−4118
Trades1.7K+221.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+1.1 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+2.7 pp
-3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−8.73×
×9.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.47
−8.24×
×8.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
+$985
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.10
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL101.8%
+190.7 pp
-89.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.4%
−9.3 pp
73.7%
Bot %64.7%
−9.6 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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