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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 19:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$6.8K$3.7K
Holders128−4132
Trades822+11811
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.7%
+16.3 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI2.2%
−2.5 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−2.20×
×3.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−1.85×
×2.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
+$3.7K
$75
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.12
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.1%
+76.7 pp
-62.6%
Underwater %15.8%
−56.7 pp
72.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.5%
−16.3 pp
51.9%
Bot %43.8%
−8.6 pp
52.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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