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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 06:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$8.9K$9.5K
Holders225+22203
Trades2.3K+172.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.5%
+2.1 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI1.2%
+1.5 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.41
+0.40×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.44
+0.49×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.8K
+$3.6K
$9.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-27.5%
−28.9 pp
1.4%
Underwater %92.2%
+40.7 pp
51.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.6%
−5.8 pp
75.4%
Bot %70.2%
−5.6 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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