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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 08:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K−$4.3K$7.7K
Holders172+54118
Trades1.5K+3151.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.9%
−15.1 pp
58.0%
Avg ROI2.7%
+2.7 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×341.77
+341.21×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×275.77
+275.15×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$574
−$1.8K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.18
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.6%
−165.7 pp
66.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.0%
−16.2 pp
68.2%
Bot %59.5%
−17.4 pp
76.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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