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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-19 13:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$20K$30K
Holders376+29347
Trades4.8K+4424.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.8%
−8.8 pp
54.7%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−0.11×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−0.21×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.8K
−$13.4K
$22.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.5%
+37.2 pp
37.2%
Underwater %5.4%
+4.7 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.2%
−8.7 pp
69.9%
Bot %67.5%
−10.5 pp
78.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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