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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9PM ET

data as of 2026-04-02 01:32 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K−$43K$50K
Holders124+4975
Trades1.4K+1311.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−15.0 pp
63.0%
Avg ROI4.6%
+2.0 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.78
+20.95×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.93
+22.12×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$71
+$1.4K
−$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.64
0.35
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.1%
−120.4 pp
24.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.4 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.2%
−14.1 pp
61.3%
Bot %48.5%
−10.8 pp
59.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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