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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-01 22:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$224+$12$212
Holders11+110
Trades35−136
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
+5.1 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI-5.1%
+2.7 pp
-7.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−0.66×
×1.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−0.58×
×1.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$144
+$76
$69
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.1%
+65.9 pp
-21.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−86.9 pp
86.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %90.2%
+52.9 pp
37.3%
Bot %90.2%
+56.3 pp
34.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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