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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?

data as of 2026-06-26 07:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
93¢
NO
4¢
YES
93¢
YesY-NNo
Position$49+$33$16
Holders1−12
Trades3+12
NO
4¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.1%
+19.3 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI1.8%
−10.7 pp
12.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$16
$16
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.1%
+0.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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