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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$52K+$42K$9.8K
Holders469+87382
Trades3.4K−2053.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+8.9 pp
46.4%
Avg ROI0.9%
−4.2 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−9.69×
×10.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−11.62×
×12.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.1K
+$15.6K
$9.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.5%
+122.3 pp
-91.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.6%
+8.4 pp
68.2%
Bot %77.9%
+10.3 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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