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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 00:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$7.2K$13K
Holders251−20271
Trades1.8K−991.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−1.9 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI1.6%
+1.6 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.90
+9.22×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.41
+8.71×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.1K
−$5.2K
$11.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.5%
−136.6 pp
47.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.3%
−1.1 pp
41.4%
Bot %49.3%
−0.8 pp
50.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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