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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8PM ET

data as of 2025-09-27 16:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$8.6K$20K
Holders48−1260
Trades2.9K+1.0K1.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.6%
−17.1 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI10.3%
+4.2 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.56
+23.03×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.78
+21.25×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$217
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.09
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−184.7 pp
89.4%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %87.3%
+31.7 pp
55.6%
Bot %87.3%
+31.1 pp
56.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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